Premature Technology Arousal (PTA) in Barcelona

To sum up Mobile World Congress 2013, I will borrow from Peter Marx, head of business development at Qualcomm Labs. Peter talks about a tendency for PTA or (for those in the know) Premature Technology Arousal in the mobile industry.

Much of the MWC 2013 floor area at the new Fira Gran Via venue exhibited PTA or Premature Technology Arousal. Solutions that are excited about being solutions. Solutions that are too early. Solutions that are missing reach and frequency. Things that are just not simple enough to drive adoption.

Even before 70 thousand executives hit the show floor, there were signs of “PTA”. From the Near Field Communications (NFC) show name tags that tried to emulated plastic (but that few used because you still needed to show the plastic) to tapping on Coke dispensers with cloud-base wallets that are many quarters away for mainstream adoption.

Booth after booth in this 1.01 million square feet techno-playground displayed incredible solutions and screens.  But the real story to follow was how each solution quietly added value to a given business ecosystem. There was an invisible hand playing connect the dots. Here are a few examples:

The Invisible Google Hand

Google was almost absent – unlike the MWC of 2011 and 2012 where Google groupies ran from partner booth to partner booth in search of cute Android pins. But Google was most definitely on the floor. This year the company is wisely playing “powered by Google”. They are the dark silent type. Turn left or right in every hall, Android is the fuel this industry is consuming.

The same holds for Qualcomm. They are the chip manufacture that is quietly taking the lion’s share of the revenue on each global handset. (Intel just cannot seem to create a competitive landscape.) Qualcomm Labs is building in consumer identity and credentials onto its “platform” hoping to not only power the connected device but also own the big data behind the user. When Qualcomm demos a vision of a home of the near future, they power many of the moving pieces.

The Samsung Show

While Qualcomm’s chip and Google’s OS were the main stories in Barcelona, another key and not so silent player is Samsung. (So much so that my hotel concierge asked me if I was attending that “Samsung” show that was in town.)  The word that floated above the white new-age Samsung booth was “innovation” but the innovation is not just the 3D camera or the ubiquity of the new S-Pen. The innovation was in their business model connecting their screen across the consumer journey. The 3D camera sells their tablet and television. The S-Pen and its SDK allows for ergonomic continuity across their new tablets and fablets.

Mozilla is other important story in Barcelona. Using the Firefox browser on lower-end ZTE devices to run the camera, map and  . . . oh ya the browser was a definite tech-turn on. Moving the developer and more importantly the consumer out of the (Apple-invented and dominated) app store into the real world super-app is an inevitable step and fundamental to our mobile evolution. The quicker the industry can move away for relying exclusively on industrial design and the app storefront as the sales tool, the faster we will grow.

2014 Screen Wars

The most important leitmotif was the screen. Not only the proliferation of devices with new form factor and appliance, but the realization that it is in the connecting of these screen that the we can accelerate business models. Samsung, ZTE, Motorola, Nokia all address the consumer journey across all screens and throughout their day. Nearly all marketing VPs had spent their last few months and budget trying to tell this consumer story.

Again while many products had indecent “PTA”, the most important insight was not what was happening on the screen but what companies were doing to connect them seamlessly. The new battle ground this year moving into MWC 2014 will be centered around who can best manage big data, wallet credentials and identity between the screens.

Barcelona In Brief: Qualcomm, Samsung & Mozilla (BNN Interview)

Watch here. (6 mins)

The End of Pennies & Amazon Coins from the Cloud

With the Canadian Mint abandoning the mighty penny and Amazon creating its own digital currency system called Amazon Coins (to be used to purchase apps in its Kindle Fire Tablet), where is cash heading?

In May, Amazon Coins will flood the market with “tens of millions of dollars” of virtual coins. The Canadian mint will remove the equivalent in copper.  This value transfer from cash coins to promotional coins is not connected but illustrative of the value of currency to drive engagement and what is often referred to as “big data.”

The penny and the dollar have not lost their value in our digital economy (*) but the ability for the data behind our purchase behavior may yield more value.

How we buy has changed so profoundly over the past few decades. Money and path to purchase has become more fluid. Days waiting for cash to clear is now instantaneous. Digital credentials such as Paypal and Paypass allow for seamless payments inconceivable few years ago.

We know that financial institutions and the new mobile wallets snub their nose at cash and hope that all transactions move through their gateway and pay a service toll. But more importantly for the Google’s and Apple’s wallets to tether a digital relationship that allows for incremental advertising and engagement opportunities.

As we move into digital wallets in the cloud and the store, look for more “Amazon” pennies from heaven. Or in this case, from the cloud.

* (Cash is a clumsy system and removing pennies can upset the countries cash register.  In 1971 the penny was axed in the UK. Cash confusion and many retail that were accused of rounding up rather than down allowed price increases that pundits attributed to increased inflation in the country for a quarter of a century. By the 70s, inflation was upward of 25%.)

Interview: Shopper + smartphone = impulse purchase (WSJ)

Smartphones and other mobile devices are changing the way we shop. Gary Schwartz, founder and CEO of Impact Mobile and author of “The Impulse Economy,” tells Radio’s Adrienne Mitchell smart businesses are responding to more-impulsive shoppers.

Interview: Mobile Driving Impulse Shopping

LINK TO VIDEO HERE (11 mins)

Rob Woodbridge: I’m sitting with Gary Schwartz, you’re CEO of Impact Mobile and author of The Impulse Economy.

Gary Schwartz: Hey, thank you for having me.

Rob Woodbridge: A long time coming, I remember when we talked about this a long time ago about the — not the struggles, but the joy we’ll say of writing a book.

Gary Schwartz: No, you know, the struggles, struggles, they were there — two years of airport writing, meeting with folk coast to coast, struggles but good struggles. To understand anything when you’re in the middle of the battle and you’re really down in the trenches, it’s a challenge because it’s hard to know who’s winning, you know.

Rob Woodbridge: It is, especially you know, you’re talking to guys, they’re building as the industry is developing, so who knows what directions it’s going to go in.

Gary Schwartz: Listen, the industry doesn’t know which direction it’s going. And everybody’sgrasping for straws and trying to read the tea leaves to mix metaphors, but that’s what makes it really exciting. I think what happens when you write a book over a two year period, is you start cutting up the edges and you start to realize that you develop a really good core. And that core is really sound because you’ve spent two years cutting off the edges. And of course things change like as we put this to print, you know, there have been just a whole flurry of announcements, andthey will continue to flurry. I think the thing to understand is that the philosophy, the engagement with the consumer doesn’t change. And so the understanding and the need to have frictionless engagement, the understanding and the need to reinvent the store intelligently, the angst of the storekeeper, the needs of the shopper, those things don’t change.

Rob Woodridge: No. And they never will, right? It’s just a different medium for them to worry about.

Gary Schwartz: Absolutely.

Rob Woodridge: So go over the book, give us a brief overview of exactly what’s in The Impulse Economy?

Gary Schwartz: Well it’s called The Impulse Economy because it’s about the impulse consumer. The impulse consumer predated mobile. We are intrinsically impulse consumers. What’shappened is a lot of the things that we put into the mall, into the store, have interrupted purchase, you know, there have been whims of the storekeeper, somewhat contrived from a consumer perspective. What’s happening is we’re getting back to our native shopping behavior which is theability to do things on the fly from our couch, from the street, from the car, from the mall. And now we’re bringing that impulse ability to shop within a shop and that’s an impulse engagement but not a pleasant impulse engagement from the storekeeper’s perspective. So it’s about that whole reengagement with the shopper and understanding how to as a storekeeper or as a service provider to hit the right note with that consumer, understand how to use the phone to effectively drivepurchase.

Rob Woodbridge: But that’s the key, right, is that to drive purchase?

Gary Schwartz: It is, it is, it is all about driving ‘ ka ching’. And so it’s nice to have all the fluff of a campaign and brand awareness and all the things that we love, but if it aint driving sales. It’s not going to be … it’s not going to be a front and center focus for anybody the next year.

Rob Woodbridge: Well you talked about that core and my guess is the core as you were chipping away, the core is a philosophy isn’t it, or is it a methodology around this?

Gary Schwartz: You know, I mean there is obviously a methodology that sort of evolved. When you start looking at the industry and when you look at the way that the mobile marketing has evolved and mobile marketing was very focused on campaign engagement and doing things that were really cool and getting into the magazine as the cool brand. And what it’s evolved into is anindispensible channel and brands that really know where the future is with their consumer have understood that they need to now use that channel. So the philosophy is really on in the world which has cross channel disconnect as its central layer of angst. What are the things, the toolkits that you can use to engage with that consumer, follow that consumer and drive sale? And it doesn’t matter if it’s in the store, in the cloud or in their home, whether it’s in the car or at the dwell at elevator and it’s that central philosophy right across all your the media touch points across all your retail touch points, that has to be ground in continually. And that’s what the book’s about.

Rob Woodbridge: 100%, and what was surprising about this was that the — is it the adoption rate that you’re seeing now? Or is it the fact that it’s so influx that this industry doesn’t really have a border, it doesn’t have…  it’s a morphis isn’t it?

Gary Schwartz: Well you know what, the biggest problem with mobile is mobile. It’s the biggest problem with mobile is everybody talks about mobile and it’s not about mobile, it’s aboutunderstanding how to engage the new shopper. And if you fixate on the technology, if you fixate on the device, you’re never going to be able to to integrate it into your business as usual core focus. It’s always going to be a bell and a whistle. What brands, retailers, what anybody out there needs to understand is it’s about ROI, it’s about understanding how to drive your objectives with sales and if that’s your focus and then you say, “Oh, you know what, mobile or you know, a cloud based integration with a portable screen or whatever, you know, can sell that product. That is the realization a lot of brands have to go through otherwise they continue to build campaigns, they continue to rely on bells and whistles. So sometimes it’s the dumb solutions that are the most exciting. And do you know why they’re most exciting? It’s because they generate revenue and revenue is exciting. So sometimes it’s SMS and mobile web, not you know, high end integrations, very costly integrations with POS, with apps, with things that sound fun but just on driving the tonnage and engagement and reach and  frequency the brands the need.

Rob Woodbridge: So where are, I mean what’s driving revenue now for these guys? Is it that, is it the low level stuff that we’re looking beyond right now, that’s making money?

Gary Schwartz: You know what, what is driving revenue is when you can connect the channels effectively, when you can drive … when you can make sure that between this touch point and that touch point, there’s no dropoff, to make sure that the conversation that started online continues with me and not a competitor into store, into my media, back into my CRM platorm, if you canconnect the dots, you will always be able to win. The problem is, is that there’s a lot of focus on, what do I do in the store and what do I do in my catalogue and then what do I do online? And it’s in between, it’s the cracks … it’s between the cracks the consumer falls.

Rob Woodbridge: Yeah. I love that, I mean I look at mobile as a gap filler, right, and it’s not an elegant way of putting it.

Gary Schwartz: Yeah, well I mean it’s gap filler or maybe it’s a bridge and it’s the ability to…

Rob Woodbridge: That’s an elegant way of putting it.

Gary Schwartz: Well you know, sometimes I also call bridges gap fillers.

Rob Woodbridge: Exactly.

Gary Schwartz: But you know, it allows you to get from one place to another more effectively. And then what it’s doing,  is resuscitating your existing legacy infrastructure and that’s what’s exciting, my gosh, it’s like, “Oh my gosh, my store would be reinvented because I understood how to move somebody from my media into store and into the cloud”, that is very sexy for a retailer because that’s where they need to focus. Mobile is just a means to that end.

Rob Woodbridge: Yeah. Well what’s the big picture for that, I mean is mobile about driving, it has to be about driving new revenue, not just moving revenue from one bucket to another, it has to be new revenue?

Gary Schwartz: No, absolutely, it has to be new revenue and it has to … it has to be new revenue or it has to make sure that I’m driving incremental revenue to my existing touch points. So if I candrive — if I can make sure there are fewer banner shopping carts in the cloud, if I can make surethat there is a less abandoned intent to buy, and I can make sure that that idea actually was executed into my store or the idea in the store wasn’t lost into the Amazon cloud, then I’m a winner. And mobile can do that for you.

Rob Woodbridge: I have to ask, I mean next 12, 18 months, what is getting you excited about? I mean I’m loathe to ask this question because you’re excited about it today, but is there anything that you see that’s coming that you say, “God, I can’t wait for that to arrive?”

Gary Schwartz: You know what, I’m very much a here and now guy and I’m very excited about the future, I’m excited to see what hand Apple plays in the next year. But I know, we know from the IP, you know, tea leaves, that they are totally focused on NFC, that they have patents [inaudible] ties that to iTunes that they now launch in Easypay as a trial in their stores with scanning which is going to die and it’s going to move to much more mature NFC integration. That will be exciting because once the aspirational brand comes in with a strategy, the mobile will validate. And do you know, other things that are exciting, you know, I think the goal is to always look at the future and see where things are going but to be excited by the here and now because if it’s all about the future there is no learning in the present. If you don’t do learning in the present when you get to thefuture you’ve got nothing. And so things like, simple things that retailers can do like take their existing snail mail email which is … I consider email the snail mail of the phone, right?

Rob Woodbridge: Right.

Gary Schwartz: And make sure that you’re creating a messaging channel to the phone through SMS, that is a simple exercise that you can do now that allows you to drive – and stats will hear me out on this -  fivetimes to ten times conversion of your email.  That in and of itself should stop everybody in their tracks and to focus on that because if you have engagement with the consumer, if you can understand how to talk to that consumer in a targeted way on messaging then when the wallet comes down the road, when some amazing mobile evolution is in a not too distant future you’re ready for it.  You have a relationship with the consumer, you understand how they work on the phone, you’ve tied your retail touch points together fluidly through mobile web and messaging and you’re ready for the next big thing.

Rob Woodbridge: Gary, I wish we could talk forever. Thank you so much for bringing in the book, it’s The Impulse Economy, go check it out. Gary, congratulations.

Interview: The Future of Shopping (MSN)

MSN 7 mins: Gary Schwartz, CEO, Impact Mobile, joins BNN to speak about The Future of Shopping

Amazon & The End of The Book (NOOK)

By Gary Schwartz

With the supposed separation of the Nook digital books business from Barnes & Noble, expected company losses and lowered guidance for fiscal 2012, the bookseller’s stock fell dramatically last week. The Nook tablet and ereader was the poster child of Barnes & Noble’s in-store growth strategy, but now that approach is in play.

Meanwhile, Barnes & Noble’s nemesis, Amazon, is doling out cash to authors who make their ebooks available exclusively on Kindle for 90 days.

Kindle Direct Publishing – KDP for those in the know – has put aside at least $6 million in 2012. Books can be “borrowed” for free and authors receive royalty payment based on the popularity of their title. This may be one more step towards the end of the bookshelf as we know it.

While Amazon erodes the viability of the physical store, the Amazon storefront is fast becoming  confusing to navigate, and it is a slippery slope for authors.

If we let the age-old publishing process that allows a book to percolate, sometimes arduously, from manuscript to agent to editor to published work to fade away, who will curate our content? Can the publisher and bookstore forge a new role in the value chain?

FULL ARTICLE HERE

Interview: 10 Mobile Big Things in 2012 (BNN)

Business News Network 7.5 mins: 10 Mobile Big Things in 2012 Gary Schwartz, CEO, Impact Mobile, joins BNN to speak about the 10 big mobile things in 2012.

2012 “Top 10″ MOBILE trends & rankings

In a season where every second tweet and Google+ post is a look-back or forward at the “mobile” year, it is sometimes difficult to navigate all the insights. Just Google “Mobile Top 10 . . .” and you will find every blogger, publication and pundit providing their vision of what is newsworthy, trendworthy or simply rankable in mobile.

The proliferation of mobile “Top 10s” is a good thing. It is proof of all the many verticals areas that mobile has intersected. Health, IT, gaming, banking, retail, social, payment, fraud, security, privacy, patent trolling – all now have some form of a top 10 mobile list.

The explosion of the Mobile Top Ten list shows both how disruptive mobile has become and, also, what a massive audience it commands. Top 10-related news headlines seem to drive more hits and be retweeted more than other items.

(Twitter even tweets its top 10 most retweeted tweets. No. 2 being @LilTunechi Lil Wayne WEEZY F “aaaaaaahhhhhhmmmmm baaaaakkkkkkkkkk.” The 2011 top of the top 10 retweets was by Wendy’s restaurants “RT for a good cause. Each retweet sends 50c to help kids in foster care. #TreatItFwd.” Wendy’s raised $1.8 million.)

We seem to all need, what Perry Hoekstra in his blog calls an “Obligatory 2011 Top Ten Mobile Story List.” I presume it helps us simplify this expanding, complex world of mobile. If we can prioritize importance and cut off the discussion at ten, the list can help us make sense of mobile.

Lists also keep us honest. We never are right on half our predictions. Remember our 2010 trends and forecasts? They are out there in the blogosphere for all those with 20/20 hindsight to chuckle.

In December 2010, we all had an opinion on HP webOS-powered tablet plans – that never happened. And where on the list was Google’s purchase of Motorola, ostensibly as fodder for their IP wars against Apple? Missed that one.

But the biggest problem with these lists is their length. In the wasteland of eggnog and turkey dinners, I ask, where are the mobile Clifs Notes? Where is the super-list? Where is the list of lists?

Steve Yankovich, head of mobile for eBay, tells us that the mobile consumer’s attention span is roughly 15 seconds, nose-to-phone. EBay designs its mobile pages for the dwell time at an elevator or the time idling at the red light. Perhaps, in the spirit of mobile efficiency, we better design our year-end prognostications for this small attention-deficit window.

This holiday season, I add to the litany of lists my retrospect and forecast of mobile, but below in 100 words or less.

2011

  1. Facebook timeline set it back in history
  2. Google+ builds circle of trust
  3. Symbian sang swansong
  4. Apple continued to make data a free commodity
  5. Spectrum war showed its dark side
  6. All screens called mobile
  7. Amazon cloud disrupts the mall
  8. Consumer data became jewel in the crown
  9. CarrierIQ poster-child of privacy angst
  10. NFC wallet traded press, not payment

2012

  1. NFC proximity marketing, not proximity payment – yet
  2. X9 (ISO) delivers mobile security recommendations
  3. Apple says “I Do” to NFC
  4. Research In Motion exits stage right
  5. Cloud checkout is optimized and mainstream
  6. Super App = HTML5 browser
  7. Focus on prepaid market services
  8. LTE networks and spectrum become big issues
  9. Mobile privacy hype continues
  10. Microsoft and Nokia enter stage left

Not quite 100 words, but near enough.

Happy Mobile New Year.

Black Friday Mobile “Mall Buster”

By Gary Schwartz

As I sit thoughtfully, wedged between Black Friday and Cyber Monday, I have a mobile premonition that times are a’changing.

Black Friday may be becoming Cyber Friday - which would mean a dark Monday for many retailers and malls in North America.

On November 28, 2005, Shop.org started discussing an online shopping phenomenon following the Thanksgiving weekend that it coined Cyber Monday. After fighting for sale items in the aisles, shoppers starting surfing the web for remnant deals.

However over the past year, Matt Shay and his team at the National Retail Federation should realizing that the online shopping cloud (that was politely situated on a separate day with separate deals for online shoppers) is now disruptively moving into our primetime shopping calendar.

While most mobile shopping on Black Friday still tends to be mobile marketing focused: Price comparison hunting with Amazon PriceCheck, ShopSavvy or eBay’s Redlazer App; Mobile couponing clipping for show-to-save deals that drive impulse door swing into the mall and retail store.

These shopping APPs and mobile web services are great for hardcore price hunters but the small-screen experience is not optimal. The mobile phone may help the shopper better navigate high value items such as shoes or electronics in their local mall. The mobile phone may steer the shopper to a purchase or may rudely interrupt an in-aisle purchase.

But what is beyond price hunting? If a PriceCheck shows a better deal online, many folk are likely to close their phone and choose to buy the item that evening on the web on a large screen in the comfort of their home.

This is about to change.  There is a new breed of shopping disruption entering the market.  Apple’s iPad has hybridized:

  • mobile & fixed internet
  • small screen & large screen
  • impulse & thoughtful shopping

Kindle Fire: The Mall Buster

The new commerce-tablet is a portable mall buster. The iPad allows for an elegant portable internet experience, Apple focus continued to be the APP economy and digital checkout on iTunes.

Other tablets have entered the market on Apple’s terms and had mix results  . . . until the Amazon’s new tablet Kindle Fire. The Kindle Fire is all about one-click commerce. The device is optimized for in-store, in-mall deal hunting, price comparison and most importantly one-click checkout.

Amazon has always been a commerce disrupter. They battled and beat the book store. Now they are taking on the entire mall.

Amazon reinvented book browsing. In 2007, we saw the first Kindle, the harbinger of a new power game and more importantly a new relationship with the mobile consumer. In order to promote its Kindle device, Amazon sold electronic books below wholesale prices.  A tactical loss. Owning the commerce platform was the ultimate reward for Amazon.

Amazon won the book battle: Borders bookstore went out of business and Barnes & Noble opened coffee shops and began selling household furniture.

The Kindle Fire (which combines book commerce with the immersive Kindle experience) is the final commerce frontier.  Amazon is so confident in the commerce that they will generate in the mall that they are selling the unit at a loss ($199 while the unit cost is $210).

Amazon’s One-Click commerce along with VISA’s V.me service, Billing Revolution’s Single-Click and a flood of cloud commerce options will enter the market this year.

What does this mean to the great American Black Friday tradition?

It means that shoppers on Friday, November 30th, 2012 may move from comparison price hunting in the mall to disruptive purchasing in the cloud. No longer are Cyber Monday and Black Friday neatly separated: the cloud is in the mall . . .  to stay.

Dark Clouds

We anticipate over 5000 store closings in 2012 – nearly 40% up from 2011. Many of these closings will be due to continuing shopper malaise; however, as in-mall cloud shopping accelerates, stores particularly in the apparel, shoe and electronics vertical will need to reinvent themselves. They will need to focus on breaking down the channel barriers between their online presents and the physical store. Tackling “cross-channel disconnect” will be key to survival.

Stores will need to focus on the non-Black-Friday days – all 364 of them and work to build a loyalty, one-to-one relationship with the shopper using their phones to bridge the store experience with the store’s cloud experience.

Content curation, sensory experience, customer service and love are all the store has. It will not win on price alone.